Spread: 49ers (-10.5)
Current price
40.5¢
+0.5¢ · 24h
Implied probability 40.5%
$254.9 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the condition for resolution, requiring the 49ers to win by 11 or more points for a '49ers' resolution and resolving to 'Commanders' otherwise. Overtime inclusion is explicitly confirmed. Postponement keeps the market open until completion, and a full cancellation resolves 50-50, leaving minimal ambiguity or room for decider discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL football game between Commanders and 49ers, scheduled for October 19 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "49ers" if the 49ers win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures the point spread outcome of the NFL game between the Washington Commanders and the San Francisco 49ers, specifically whether the 49ers win by 11 or more points.
How it resolves
The market resolves to "49ers" if the 49ers win the game by 11 or more points, including overtime. The market resolves to "Commanders" otherwise (if the 49ers win by 10 or fewer points, tie, or lose). If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.
Key dates
- Scheduled game time: — Scheduled kickoff for Commanders vs. 49ers.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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