Spread: 49ers (-9.5)
Current price
44.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 44.5%
$123.2 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market resolves based on a standard point spread condition for an NFL game, specifically resolving to 49ers if they win by 10 or more points and to Commanders otherwise. Overtime is explicitly included, and the handling of postponements or complete cancellations is clearly defined without relying on complex subjective judgment.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL football game between Commanders and 49ers, scheduled for October 19 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "49ers" if the 49ers win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the San Francisco 49ers will cover a 9.5-point spread against the Washington Commanders in their scheduled NFL game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to "49ers" if the 49ers win the game by 10 or more points. The market resolves to "Commanders" in all other game outcome scenarios, including a 49ers win by 9 or fewer points, an outright Commanders win, or a tie. Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until it is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.
Key dates
- Scheduled game date: Game scheduled for October 19 at 8:15 PM ET Year not in source: 2025-10-19T20:15:00-04:00.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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