Spread: 49ers (-8.5)
Current price
46.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 46.5%
$5 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules clearly outline the specific point margin required for the spread outcome, specifically noting that the 49ers must win by 9 or more points and that overtime counts. Postponement and cancellation scenarios are explicitly handled, with postponed games waiting for completion and outright cancellations splitting 50-50. Although an explicit data source like the official NFL box score is not named, the outcome of an official NFL game score is unambiguous and standard.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL football game between Commanders and 49ers, scheduled for October 19 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "49ers" if the 49ers win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures the point spread outcome of the NFL game between the Washington Commanders and the San Francisco 49ers scheduled for October 19. It resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled entirely without a make-up game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to 49ers if the 49ers win the game by 9 or more points, including overtime if played. The market resolves to Commanders if the 49ers do not win by at least 9 points, meaning the Commanders win, tie, or lose by 8 or fewer points. The market resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. The rules do not specify a deciding source.
Key dates
- Scheduled game date: — Scheduled for 8:15 PM ET
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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