Spread: 49ers (-7.5)
Current price
49.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 49.5%
$2.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules for this market are straightforward, defining the exact point margin required for resolution alongside specific provisions for overtime, postponements, and outright cancellations. Official final scores in NFL games are unambiguous and publicly verified, leaving essentially no room for discretionary judgment or timing conflicts.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL football game between Commanders and 49ers, scheduled for October 19 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "49ers" if the 49ers win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the San Francisco 49ers will defeat the Washington Commanders by 8 or more points in their scheduled NFL game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to "49ers" if the 49ers win the game by 8 or more points, including overtime if played. The market resolves to "Commanders" in all other scenarios where the game is completed. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until completion. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.
Key dates
- Scheduled game start: — Game scheduled between the Commanders and 49ers.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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