Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
Gotcha risk
Medium1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market requires all three leaders to appear in the same frame of an authentic photograph or video taken and released before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
Read the full assessment
This market requires all three leaders to appear in the same frame of an authentic photograph or video taken and released before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The rules clearly exclude AI-generated or edited imagery, but they do not name a specific official registry, broadcaster, or independent fact-checker to adjudicate authenticity. As a result, the decider must exercise discretion to judge whether any emerging media is genuine and verified.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
95%
chance▲ +1.5 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Xi Jinping are photographed or videotaped together, in the same frame, between this market's creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic, not the result of artificial intelligence or video editing. The resolution source for this market will be the images or video of Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Xi Jinping together.
Market explained
This market measures whether Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Xi Jinping appear together in the same authentic photograph or video frame before 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Xi Jinping are photographed or videotaped together in the same frame between market creation and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The media must be taken and released within that timeframe and must be authentic rather than generated by artificial intelligence or video editing. The market resolves to No if these conditions are not met. The deciding source is authentic images or video depicting all three individuals together.
Resolution source
Authentic images or video of Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Xi Jinping together
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·