8.5¢
−9.5¢ · 24h
Implied probability 8.5%
$234.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
This market resolves according to clear, objective rules tied to a primary automated data feed. It resolves to Yes if any 1-minute candle on Pyth for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures records a low price equal to or below $85 during October 2026 trading sessions, and No otherwise. The criteria specify exact trading hours, contract roll mechanics (defining the Active Month switch three sessions before expiry), precision rules without rounding, and a clear backup source (official ICE daily settlement reports) if Pyth data is disrupted. There is minimal room for subjective judgment or timing conflict.
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
The probability of WTI crude oil hitting a low of $85 in October fell from 33% to 18%, but available news and market data show no clear catalyst for the move.
AI-generated · 15 Oct 2026, 22:20 UTC
The price fell from 0.405 to 0.25 as part of a broader repricing across 4 related crude oil price target markets, which moved together during the period.
AI-generated · 14 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered (See: "Trading Hours" at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 8:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 6:00 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours). The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month. Each contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures Europe per the WTI Crude Futures contract specification (generally the 4th US business day prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract month, or five US business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a US business day). The last trading day for each contract is posted at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures/expiry. For example, if the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Monday the 20th, the next listed contract would become the Active Month at the start of the trading session for Thursday the 16th (8:00 PM ET on Wednesday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil Futures contract by ICE Futures Europe may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session (See: https://www.ice.com/report/10 with "T-West Texas Intermediate Light Sweet Crude Future" selected). In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures Active Month "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=CLL, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Rules history is not displayed yet.
This market measures whether WTI Crude Oil futures hit a low price of $85 or lower in October 2026. Resolution relies specifically on 1-minute candle data from the Pyth Network for the ICE Futures Europe active month contract.
The market resolves to Yes if any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (CLL) records a final High or Low price equal to or below $85 at any point after market creation during an October 2026 trading session. The market resolves to No if this threshold is not reached, or if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the timeframe. Resolution is determined primarily by Pyth 1-minute candle data without rounding. If Pyth data is disrupted or unavailable, official daily high/low prices from ICE Futures Europe serve as the fallback source.
Pyth
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.