PolymarketCloses · in 13 daysPart of What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026? →

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?

Last captured price

2.45¢

+1.15¢ · 24h

Implied probability 2.45%
$180.8K total volume · YES/NO

7-day range 0.95–2.5¢

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment

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The rules clearly specify the conditions for resolution, relying on quantitative 1-minute candle price feeds from Pyth for ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (CLL) during October 2026 trading sessions. The definitions for what constitutes an active month, session hours, and contract roll dates are precisely detailed, along with a secondary backup source (ICE Futures Europe official daily reports) if Pyth feeds experience an outage. The decider has almost no discretion, and the threshold criteria are objective.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

Liquidity

High tradability

Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.

Book depth $136.2K within 5¢ of mid
Price history range

Price history

Market price
1¢1.5¢2¢2.5¢3¢09:1614:1019:0323:56
0¢1¢2¢3¢Oct 12Oct 14Oct 16Oct 17
0¢2¢4¢6¢8¢Sep 29Oct 5Oct 11Oct 17

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered (See: "Trading Hours" at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 8:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 6:00 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours). The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month. Each contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures Europe per the WTI Crude Futures contract specification (generally the 4th US business day prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract month, or five US business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a US business day). The last trading day for each contract is posted at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures/expiry. For example, if the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Monday the 20th, the next listed contract would become the Active Month at the start of the trading session for Thursday the 16th (8:00 PM ET on Wednesday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil Futures contract by ICE Futures Europe may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session (See: https://www.ice.com/report/10 with "T-West Texas Intermediate Light Sweet Crude Future" selected). In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures Active Month "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=CLL, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Rules history

Rules history is not displayed yet.

Market explained

This market measures whether ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (CLL) reach a High price of at least $130 during October 2026 trading sessions according to Pyth 1-minute candle data.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (CLL) has a final High or Low price equal to or above $130 at any point during an applicable trading session of October 2026 business days. Prices are evaluated unrounded as published by Pyth. The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, rolling to the next listed contract at the open of the third-to-last trading session before expiry. The market resolves to No if this price threshold is not reached, or if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the timeframe. Resolution is determined primarily by Pyth 1-minute candle data (CLL feed), falling back to ICE Futures Europe official daily high/low reports if Pyth data is disrupted.

Key dates

  • Measurement period: — October 2026 trading sessions begin

Resolution source

Pyth (ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures Active Month feed CLL)

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