Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Single of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves based on the official winner of Single of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards, relying directly on the Country Music Association's official announcements and broadcast.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves based on the official winner of Single of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards, relying directly on the Country Music Association's official announcements and broadcast. The rules contain an early resolution clause that will immediately resolve the market to 'No' if the song is not among the official nominees once nominations are released. A standard alphabetical tie-breaker and an end-of-year timeout resolving to 'Other' are clearly defined.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Medium
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
96%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year. If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ella Langley's song “Choosin' Texas” will win Single of the Year at the 60th Annual CMA Awards in 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if “Choosin' Texas” wins the Single of the Year award at the 60th Annual CMA Awards. In the event of a tie, the market resolves in favor of the tied winner whose title comes first alphabetically. The market resolves to No immediately if the song is not officially nominated when the 2026 nominees are announced, or if another eligible single wins. The market resolves to Other if no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is decided using official information from the Country Music Association and CMA Awards (including their website and live broadcast), or a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
Official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including their website and the live broadcast, or a consensus of credible reporting.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·