Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
Last captured price
21.5¢
−1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 21.5%
$53.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The criteria for resolution align closely with the market question, requiring an official announcement or filing of bankruptcy by December 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET. The rules make clear that an announcement from an official channel, executive, or legal representative is sufficient even if a formal court filing has not yet taken place. While primary verification relies on official corporate statements, the rules also allow resolution based on a consensus of credible reporting, which requires the decider to evaluate news coverage if official statements are ambiguous or absent.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- High
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if CoreWeave announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents CoreWeave. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether CoreWeave will announce that it has filed or plans to file for any form of bankruptcy by December 31, 2028. Notably, an official announcement or definitive credible reporting is sufficient for resolution, regardless of whether a formal bankruptcy filing actually takes place.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if CoreWeave announces by December 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety. The announcement must come through official or verified channels, or via a recorded or written statement from the CEO, legal counsel, or other official CoreWeave representatives. A definitive consensus of credible reporting confirming the announcement also triggers a Yes resolution, and an announcement suffices even if the formal filing does not occur. Otherwise, the market resolves to No.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — The announcement must occur by 11:59 PM ET on this date.
Resolution source
Official or verified CoreWeave channels, statements from company leadership or legal representation, or a definitive consensus of credible reporting
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