Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
Last captured price
14.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 14.5%
$80.4K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market clearly defines what qualifies as a bankruptcy announcement, noting that an official statement from CoreWeave leadership, legal counsel, or official channels will suffice regardless of whether an actual court filing has occurred yet. The rules align directly with the title question. While the inclusion of a definitive consensus of credible reporting introduces some latitude in evaluating unofficial reports, corporate bankruptcy announcements are high-profile events with little room for dispute.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if CoreWeave announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents CoreWeave. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether CoreWeave officially announces that it has filed or will file for bankruptcy by December 31, 2027. Resolution depends on the announcement itself rather than the completion of a legal bankruptcy filing.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if CoreWeave announces by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET that it will file or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety. The announcement alone is sufficient regardless of whether or when an actual filing takes place. Qualifying announcements must be released via official or verified CoreWeave channels, or through a recorded or written statement by its CEO, legal representation, or other official representatives. A definitive consensus of credible reporting also qualifies. The market resolves to No if no such announcement occurs by the deadline.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — The deadline by which an announcement must be made.
Resolution source
Official or verified CoreWeave channels, official statements, or a definitive consensus of credible reporting
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