Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
Last captured price
19.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 19.5%
$27.9K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules clearly outline the conditions required for a positive outcome, specifying that an official announcement of any bankruptcy filing before December 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET qualifies even if the formal filing happens later. Acceptable sources include verified company channels, statements from company leadership or legal representation, or a definitive consensus of credible reporting. While relying on credible reporting consensus allows some decider judgment, the core criteria are well defined and closely match the headline question.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NuScale announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents NuScale. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether NuScale announces it will file or has filed for any variety of bankruptcy by December 31, 2028. Resolution depends on an official announcement or definitive reporting rather than the filing itself actually taking place.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if NuScale announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET. The announcement alone suffices for Yes regardless of whether or when an actual filing occurs. The statement must come via NuScale's official or verified channels, or as a recorded or written statement from their CEO, legal representation, or another official representative or team. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution is decided using NuScale's official channels and statements, or a definitive consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — NuScale must announce bankruptcy by 11:59 PM ET on this date for a Yes resolution.
Resolution source
NuScale official channels, statements from official representatives, or a definitive consensus of credible reporting
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