Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
Current price
10.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 10.5%
$212.9K total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves positively if NuScale publicly announces an intention to file or an actual filing for bankruptcy before the specified deadline. Participants should note that an actual court filing is not strictly required if an official announcement is made beforehand. In addition to primary company channels and executive statements, the market allows resolution based on a consensus of credible reporting, leaving some discretion to the resolving party to determine whether reporting is definitive if official communications are ambiguous.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NuScale announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents NuScale. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether NuScale will announce a bankruptcy filing by December 31, 2027. An announcement alone triggers resolution regardless of whether an actual filing occurs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if NuScale announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027. An announcement suffices for a Yes resolution regardless of if or when the actual filing happens. The announcement must be made via official or verified channels, or as a recorded or written statement by the CEO, legal representation, or other official NuScale representative. A definitive consensus of credible reporting also suffices. Otherwise, the market resolves to No.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — Deadline for NuScale to announce bankruptcy
Resolution source
Official or verified NuScale channels, statements from the CEO, legal representation, official representatives, or a definitive consensus of credible reporting
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