Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?
Current price
2.55¢
−0.8¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.55%
$89K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify that resolution depends on the official winner of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship as declared by Riot Games on the LoL Esports website. An explicit deadline of November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET handles cancellations or postponements by resolving to Other. The primary resolution source is the official organizer, though backup reliance on a consensus of reporting introduces minor source discretion. An alphabetical tiebreaker is included for multi-winner scenarios, which is standard edge-case handling for esports markets.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Invictus Gaming will win the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026).
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Invictus Gaming wins Worlds 2026. If multiple teams are declared winners, it resolves in favor of the team whose name comes first alphabetically. The market resolves to No if another team wins. The market resolves to Other if the tournament is postponed after November 28, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or if no winner is declared by that time. The resolution source is official information from Riot Games via the LoL Esports website, or a consensus of credible reporting such as Liquipedia.
Key dates
- Scheduled tournament start date:
- Scheduled tournament end date:
- Postponement and resolution cutoff: — Cutoff is 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Official information from Riot Games via the LoL Esports website, or a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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