Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?
Current price
0.75¢
Implied probability 0.75%
$133.3K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
This market resolves cleanly based on whether Karmine Corp wins the 2026 League of Legends World Championship according to Riot Games' official LoL Esports site, with secondary fallback to credible sources like Liquipedia. An explicit timeout date of November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET resolves to Other if the event is canceled or not concluded in time. There is an alphabetical tie-breaker rule if multiple winners are declared, but competitive esports outcomes are unambiguous.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Karmine Corp will win the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026). It includes a specific alphabetical tie-breaker rule if multiple teams are declared winners.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Karmine Corp wins the 2026 League of Legends World Championship. If multiple teams are declared winners, it resolves in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The market resolves to No if another team wins. The market resolves to Other if the tournament is canceled, postponed past November 28, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. The resolution source is official information from Riot Games via the LoL Esports website, or a consensus of credible reporting such as Liquipedia.
Key dates
- Tournament start date: — Scheduled start date of Worlds 2026
- Tournament scheduled end date: — Scheduled end date of Worlds 2026
- Postponement cutoff deadline: — 11:59 PM ET deadline before resolving to Other
Resolution source
Riot Games via the LoL Esports website, or a consensus of credible reporting such as Liquipedia
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.