Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?
Current price
3.85¢
−0.8¢ · 24h
Implied probability 3.85%
$108K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market clearly identifies the target competition and resolves directly based on the tournament winner published by the official organizer, Riot Games, on the LoL Esports website. A clear cutoff date of November 28, 2026, is established for delays or cancellations, resolving the market to Other if the event is not completed in time. A tie-break clause resolves alphabetically if multiple winners are declared. Consensus reporting serves only as an auxiliary reference alongside the primary official source.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether G2 Esports will win the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026). If multiple teams are declared winners, resolution favors the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if G2 Esports wins Worlds 2026. If multiple teams are declared co-winners, the market resolves in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The market resolves to No if another team wins. The market resolves to Other if the tournament is canceled, postponed beyond November 28, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. Resolution is decided using official information from Riot Games via the LoL Esports website, or a consensus of credible reporting such as Liquipedia.
Key dates
- Tournament start date: — Scheduled start date of Worlds 2026
- Tournament end date: — Scheduled end date of Worlds 2026
- Postponement deadline: — Market resolves to Other if postponed past 11:59 PM ET on this date
Resolution source
Riot Games (via LoL Esports website) or a consensus of credible reporting (such as Liquipedia)
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