Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?
Current price
16.5¢
−1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 16.5%
$116.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The outcome is clearly defined by whether Bilibili Gaming wins the 2026 League of Legends World Championship. Resolution relies directly on official tournament organizer information from Riot Games via LoL Esports, with reputable esports databases available as backup. Clear provisions exist for delays, establishing that if the tournament is postponed past November 28, 2026, or canceled without a declared winner, the market resolves to a designated fallback outcome rather than waiting indefinitely. An alphabetical tiebreaker is specified in the unlikely event of co-champions.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bilibili Gaming will win the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026).
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Bilibili Gaming wins Worlds 2026. If multiple teams are declared winners, it resolves for the team whose name comes first alphabetically. The market resolves to No if another team wins. The market resolves to Other if the tournament is postponed after November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or if no winner is declared within this timeframe. Resolution is decided using official information from Riot Games via the LoL Esports website, or a consensus of credible reporting such as Liquipedia.
Key dates
- Scheduled tournament start date:
- Scheduled tournament end date:
- Postponement cutoff deadline: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Riot Games via the LoL Esports website, or a consensus of credible reporting such as Liquipedia
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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