Will T1 win Worlds 2026?
Current price
15.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 15.5%
$110.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
This market resolves based on the official winner of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship, with Riot Games and the official LoL Esports website designated as the primary authority. A clear backstop date of November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET is provided in case the tournament is delayed or canceled. The rules include specific fallback clauses for unexpected scenarios, such as resolving alphabetically in the unlikely event of co-champions, or resolving to an alternative outcome if no winner is declared by the deadline. Overall, resolution criteria are objective and closely tied to official tournament results.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether T1 will win the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026). It includes a specific tiebreaker rule based on alphabetical order if multiple winners are declared.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if T1 is declared the winner of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship. If multiple teams are declared winners, the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically resolves as the winner. The market resolves to No if another team wins. The market resolves to Other if the tournament is canceled, postponed past November 28, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that deadline. Resolution is decided using official information from Riot Games via the LoL Esports website, with credible reporting consensus (such as Liquipedia) also accepted.
Key dates
- Tournament scheduled start:
- Tournament scheduled end:
- Postponement and resolution cutoff: — Resolves to Other if postponed past 11:59 PM ET or if no winner is declared
Resolution source
Riot Games via the LoL Esports website, or a consensus of credible reporting such as Liquipedia
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.