Will Monaco win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?
Current price
16.5¢
−1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 16.5%
$303.5 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market follows a straightforward tournament outcome with clear criteria based on the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League champion. The rules clearly allow early resolution to 'No' if Monaco is mathematically eliminated from contention prior to the final. A specific deadline of June 16, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET is defined in the event of tournament cancellation or postponement, which leads to an 'Other' resolution. Official UEFA sources serve as the primary decider, though a secondary reliance on a consensus of credible reporting is permitted if official data is unavailable, introducing a small degree of discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship per the rules of UEFA Conference League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League season is cancelled, postponed after June 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Conference League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether AS Monaco wins the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship. It includes an early resolution condition if the team is eliminated and a fallback resolution of Other if the season is cancelled or extended past a specific cutoff.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Monaco wins the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship. It resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Monaco to win the championship under UEFA rules, such as being eliminated in the playoffs. It resolves to Other if the 2026-27 season is cancelled, postponed past June 16, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. Resolution is determined by official information from the UEFA Conference League, or alternatively by a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Season resolution cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if no winner is declared by 11:59 PM ET on this date, or if the season is cancelled or postponed beyond it.
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA Conference League, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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