PolymarketCloses · in 5 hoursPart of Commanders vs. 49ers →

Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 53.5

Current price

43.5¢

−2¢ · 24h

Implied probability 43.5%
$202 total volume · YES/NO

7-day range 43.5–45.5¢

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment

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The market defines a straightforward numerical threshold for combined points scored in an NFL game, with 54 or more resolving Over and fewer than 54 resolving Under. While no specific official box score or data provider is explicitly named, official NFL game scoring is objective and universally standardized. The rules clearly state how postponements and cancellations will be handled, keeping the game open until completion or resolving at equal odds if canceled without a rescheduled date.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Med
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

Liquidity

High tradability

Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.

Book depth $365.7K within 5¢ of mid
Price history range

Price history

Market price
43¢44¢45¢46¢18:3602:3510:3318:31
43¢44¢45¢46¢Oct 17Oct 17Oct 18Oct 19
43¢44¢45¢46¢Oct 17Oct 18Oct 19Oct 19

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 19 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Commanders and 49ers combine to score 54 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 54, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Rules history

Rules history is not displayed yet.

Market explained

This market measures the combined total score of the Commanders and 49ers NFL game scheduled for October 19. It includes a specific 50-50 resolution rule if the game is entirely canceled without a make-up game.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Over if the Commanders and 49ers combine to score 54 or more points in the game. The market resolves to Under if the combined score is less than 54 points. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed. The rules do not specify a deciding source.

Key dates

  • Scheduled game date: — Scheduled kickoff at 8:15 PM ET

Resolution source

No resolution source is identified in this explainer.

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

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