Spread: 49ers (-6.5)
Current price
56.5¢
+1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 56.5%
$1.3K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are straightforward and mathematically defined: the 49ers must win by 7 or more points for a 49ers resolution, while any other margin, a tie, or a Commanders victory resolves to Commanders. Overtime is explicitly included, eliminating typical period-cutoff questions. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion, and if canceled entirely without a reschedule, it splits 50-50. While no specific statistics provider or official league website is explicitly cited, official NFL game outcomes leave virtually no room for interpretation.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL football game between Commanders and 49ers, scheduled for October 19 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "49ers" if the 49ers win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures the point spread outcome of the NFL game between the Washington Commanders and the San Francisco 49ers, specifically whether the 49ers will cover a 6.5-point spread by winning by at least 7 points.
How it resolves
The market resolves to '49ers' if the 49ers win the game by 7 or more points, including overtime if played. The market resolves to 'Commanders' in all other completed game scenarios. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely without a make-up game, the market resolves 50-50. The rules do not specify a decider or reporting source.
Key dates
- Scheduled game start: — Game scheduled between the Commanders and 49ers.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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