Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election?
Current price
46.5¢
+1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 46.5%
$2.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves clearly based on the party of the candidate winning the specified election, with straightforward provisions addressing potential nominee replacements before election day. Initial resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting, with a definitive fallback to the official certifying electoral authority if reporting is ambiguous. A long fallback deadline of July 31, 2027, resolving to Other prevents early expiration if certification is contested or delayed.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Republican Party candidate wins the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Republican Party nominee (or replacement nominee) wins the election. The market resolves to No if another party's candidate wins. The market resolves to Other if the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results from the electoral authority responsible for certifying the election in case of ambiguity.
Key dates
- Election day: — Date of the Kansas Attorney General election
- Resolution cutoff: — Deadline for definitive results before resolving to Other
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting, or the official results reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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