Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Attorney General election?
Current price
50.5¢
Implied probability 50.5%
$3.9K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves clearly based on the party of the candidate winning the 2026 Georgia Attorney General election. If nominees change before election day, the resolution tracks the replacement candidate representing that party. Resolution is primarily determined by a consensus of credible reporting, with a backstop pointing to the official election authority's certified results if ambiguity arises. The market includes a long resolution window extending to July 31, 2027, resolving to Other only if the outcome remains definitively unknown by that point, easily accommodating potential runoffs or recounts.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Georgia Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Democratic Party candidate wins the 2026 Georgia Attorney General election. It resolves based on the winning candidate's party even if the nominee is replaced before election day.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Democratic Party candidate wins the 2026 Georgia Attorney General election. It resolves to No if another party's candidate wins. The market resolves to Other if the election results are not definitively known by July 31, 2027. If a named nominee is replaced before election day, the market resolves based on the replacement nominee. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, or by the official results from the electoral authority responsible for certifying the election in case of ambiguity.
Key dates
- Election Day: — Date of the 2026 Georgia Attorney General election
- Resolution Deadline: Results must be definitively known by this date or the market resolves to Other
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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