Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?
Current price
91.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 91.5%
$85.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify each included coin alongside its network, contract address, dedicated source URL, and exact metric field name. The valuation threshold of one billion dollars is precisely stated, and momentary spikes are explicitly counted if verifiable. The negative formulation of the title matches the resolution criteria, resolving to affirmative only if none of the listed assets touch the threshold before the final deadline.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if none of the coins listed below reaches a fully diluted valuation equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000 at any point between the creation of this market and December 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Fully diluted valuation refers to the figure published by each coin's resolution source, shown as "Fully Diluted Valuation" on CoinGecko and as "FDV" on CoinMarketCap. Circulating supply market cap will not be used. The coins in this event, and their resolution sources, are: - Cash Cat (CASHCAT), Robinhood Chain 0x020bfc650a365f8bb26819deaabf3e21291018b4, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/cash-cat - Artificial Inu (AI), Robinhood Chain 0x2E8c31162b855A2ffa90F6F8634643Ad6F111e18, CoinMarketCap, https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/artificial-inu-ai/ - The Black Bull (ANSEM), Solana 9cRCn9rGT8V2imeM2BaKs13yhMEais3ruM3rPvTGpump, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull - NetNet (NET), Robinhood Chain 0xca9c78dd337a67f6e0077f65f5e9218719d30edf, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/netnet A coin reaches the threshold at the first moment its fully diluted valuation, as displayed on its resolution source, is equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000. A momentary crossing by any coin qualifies and will cause this market to resolve to "No", provided it is verifiable from the resolution source or from a consensus of credible reporting. Each coin is judged solely against the source listed for it. Differences in methodology between CoinGecko and CoinMarketCap will not be adjusted for. The primary resolution source for this market will be the source listed above for each coin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If a resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or stops publishing data for a coin, that coin will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether all four specified cryptocurrencies stay below a $1,000,000,000 fully diluted valuation (FDV) through December 25, 2026. A momentary crossing of the threshold by any single listed coin causes the market to resolve to No.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if none of the four listed coins (Cash Cat, Artificial Inu, The Black Bull, and NetNet) reaches a fully diluted valuation of $1,000,000,000 or greater between market creation and December 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to No if any of the four listed coins reaches or exceeds a $1,000,000,000 fully diluted valuation at any point during this period, even momentarily. Circulating supply market cap is excluded. Each coin is judged individually using its designated source (CoinGecko or CoinMarketCap) without adjusting for methodological differences. A consensus of credible reporting may be used, including if a primary source becomes permanently unavailable.
Key dates
- Evaluation end date: — Market resolves to Yes if no listed coin hits the $1B FDV threshold by this time.
Resolution source
CoinGecko and CoinMarketCap (specific to each coin), or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
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