Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?
Current price
3.35¢
+0.8¢ · 24h
Implied probability 3.35%
$76.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly define the competing tokens by contract address and assign a specific tracking page and metric label on either CoinGecko or CoinMarketCap to each asset. The valuation threshold is precise, and an explicit minute-level tie-breaker handles simultaneous crossings. Participants should note that momentary price spikes qualify if verifiable on the designated source, and that differing platform methodologies between CoinGecko and CoinMarketCap are explicitly accepted without normalization. A fallback to credible reporting applies if a designated page becomes unavailable.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cash Cat (CASHCAT) is the first of the coins listed below to reach a fully diluted valuation equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000 at any point between the creation of this market and December 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Fully diluted valuation refers to the figure published by each coin's resolution source, shown as "Fully Diluted Valuation" on CoinGecko and as "FDV" on CoinMarketCap. Circulating supply market cap will not be used. The coins in this event, and their resolution sources, are: - Cash Cat (CASHCAT), Robinhood Chain 0x020bfc650a365f8bb26819deaabf3e21291018b4, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/cash-cat - Artificial Inu (AI), Robinhood Chain 0x2E8c31162b855A2ffa90F6F8634643Ad6F111e18, CoinMarketCap, https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/artificial-inu-ai/ - The Black Bull (ANSEM), Solana 9cRCn9rGT8V2imeM2BaKs13yhMEais3ruM3rPvTGpump, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull - NetNet (NET), Robinhood Chain 0xca9c78dd337a67f6e0077f65f5e9218719d30edf, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/netnet A coin reaches the threshold at the first moment its fully diluted valuation, as displayed on its resolution source, is equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000. If two or more coins first reach the threshold within the same minute, the coin with the higher fully diluted valuation at that minute will be treated as first. A momentary crossing qualifies, provided it is verifiable from the resolution source or from a consensus of credible reporting. Each coin is judged solely against the source listed for it. Differences in methodology between CoinGecko and CoinMarketCap will not be adjusted for. If no coin listed above reaches a fully diluted valuation of $1,000,000,000 or greater by December 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No" and the "None" market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be the source listed above for each coin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If a resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or stops publishing data for a coin, that coin will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the cryptocurrency Cash Cat (CASHCAT) will be the first among four specific coins to reach a fully diluted valuation (FDV) of at least $1 billion before the deadline.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Cash Cat (CASHCAT) is the first coin among the four listed (Cash Cat, Artificial Inu, The Black Bull, and NetNet) to reach a fully diluted valuation equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000 between market creation and December 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A momentary crossing qualifies if verifiable. If multiple coins cross within the same minute, the higher FDV wins. The market resolves to No if another listed coin reaches the $1 billion FDV threshold first, or if none of the listed coins reach $1 billion by the deadline. Circulating supply market cap is excluded. Each coin is evaluated using its designated source: CoinGecko for Cash Cat, The Black Bull, and NetNet; CoinMarketCap for Artificial Inu. A consensus of credible reporting or alternative publicly verifiable sources may be used if a primary source becomes permanently unavailable.
Key dates
- Resolution cutoff: — Deadline for any listed coin to reach the $1B FDV threshold.
Resolution source
CoinGecko (for Cash Cat, The Black Bull, NetNet) and CoinMarketCap (for Artificial Inu)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
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