Will Lighter reach $12 before 2027?
Current price
3.5¢
−0.1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 3.5%
$7.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules are explicit and objective. Resolution depends entirely on whether any 1-minute candle for LIT/USDC on the specified platform reaches a high of $12 or more between the market creation date and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A direct URL to the exact trading pair and chart timeframe is provided, and price data from any other exchange or market is explicitly excluded, leaving minimal room for subjective interpretation.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Lighter LIT/USDC trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Lighter (LIT/USDC) price reaches $12 before 2027 based strictly on Lighter's own 1-minute candle data.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any 1-minute candle for LIT/USDC has a final High price equal to or above $12.00 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Price action prior to market creation is not considered. The market resolves to No if the price does not reach this threshold within the specified period. The deciding source is the LIT/USDC 1-minute candle chart on Lighter. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Key dates
- End date: — 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026
Resolution source
Lighter LIT/USDC 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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