Will Ethereum hit $6k by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market features clear, objective criteria with very little room for interpretation.
Read the full assessment
This market features clear, objective criteria with very little room for interpretation. Resolution is tied to a single specific data feed—the final 'High' price of any 1-minute candle on Binance's ETH/USDT pair before the explicit deadline of 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market triggers an immediate 'Yes' resolution upon reaching or exceeding $6,000, and otherwise resolves to 'No'. The rules explicitly exclude price data from all other exchanges or alternative trading pairs, leaving no discretionary judgment to the resolver.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $6,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum (ETH/USDT) reaches a high price of $6,000 on Binance by December 31, 2026. Resolution is restricted strictly to Binance 1-minute candle data for the ETH/USDT pair, disregarding all other exchanges and pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair reaches a final High price of $6,000 or higher between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches that threshold by the deadline. Prices from other exchanges, spot markets, or different trading pairs do not count. The outcome is determined solely by Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·