Will Su Ching-chuan win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves clearly based on whether Su Ching-chuan wins the specified November 28, 2026 Pingtung County Magistrate election.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves clearly based on whether Su Ching-chuan wins the specified November 28, 2026 Pingtung County Magistrate election. Resolution relies on consensus credible reporting with a defined fallback to the official election database of Taiwan's Central Election Commission if any ambiguity arises. It includes standard provisions excluding interim appointments and provides a generous deadline of June 30, 2027, resolving to Other if no winner is determined by that time.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
3%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Market explained
This market measures whether Su Ching-chuan will become the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of the Taiwanese local election scheduled for November 28, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Su Ching-chuan wins the election and becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins and becomes the next Magistrate. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed prior to the election are disregarded. The market resolves to Other if the election result is not known or no candidate has been elected by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results from the Central Election Commission of Taiwan if reporting is ambiguous.
Resolution source
Central Election Commission of Taiwan and credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·