Will Marvely Costanzo Rangel win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market hinges on a standard election outcome with clearly named fallback authorities, specifically the local and national electoral institutes.
Read the full assessment
The market hinges on a standard election outcome with clearly named fallback authorities, specifically the local and national electoral institutes. Resolution relies initially on a consensus of credible reporting before falling back to official government certification. A prolonged resolution buffer through December 31, 2027 provides ample time for recounts or legal challenges following the June 2027 election. Note that the rules include multi-choice market phrasing specifying resolution to 'Other' if definitive results are delayed past year-end, and interim or caretaker appointments are explicitly excluded from qualifying as the winner.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Medium
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in San Luis Potosí on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 San Luis Potosí gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of San Luis Potosí and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of San Luis Potosí and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Marvely Costanzo Rangel will win the 2027 San Luis Potosí gubernatorial election. Resolution excludes any interim or caretaker Governor.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Marvely Costanzo Rangel wins the 2027 San Luis Potosí gubernatorial election, excluding any interim or caretaker Governor. The market resolves to No if another listed candidate wins. The market resolves to Other if the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The outcome is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results from government sources of San Luis Potosí and Mexico (including the Electoral Institute of San Luis Potosí and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico) if ambiguity arises.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or official government sources including the Electoral Institute of San Luis Potosí and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·