Will Adriana Dávila Fernández win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves based on the official outcome of the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves based on the official outcome of the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election. Primary reliance is placed on a consensus of credible media reporting, with an explicit fallback to official figures from the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico if ambiguity arises. A generous resolution window extends through December 31, 2027, allowing ample time for official vote certification and legal challenges, after which unresolved outcomes default to 'Other'. Interim or caretaker appointments are explicitly excluded from qualifying.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tlaxcala on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tlaxcala and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Adriana Dávila Fernández wins the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election. The market resolves based on official election results, with a specific deadline for resolution.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Adriana Dávila Fernández wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election. An interim or caretaker Governor does not qualify as a winner for the purpose of this market. The market resolves No if Adriana Dávila Fernández does not win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election. The market resolves Other if the election results are not definitively known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, the market resolves solely based on official results reported by government sources of Tlaxcala and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolution source
government sources of Tlaxcala and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-2.5-flash ·