Will Héctor Bernardo Paredes Mora win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market clearly specifies the election and criteria for winning, specifically excluding interim or caretaker governors.
Read the full assessment
The market clearly specifies the election and criteria for winning, specifically excluding interim or caretaker governors. Initial resolution relies on a consensus of credible media reporting, but the rules provide a clear, authoritative fallback to official government electoral bodies, including the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute, if results are ambiguous. A generous deadline of December 31, 2027, provides sufficient time for official certification and legal challenges.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tlaxcala on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tlaxcala and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Héctor Bernardo Paredes Mora wins the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election. The resolution relies on official government sources if reporting is ambiguous.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Héctor Bernardo Paredes Mora wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election. The market resolves No if any other candidate wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election. An interim or caretaker Governor does not qualify as a winner for this market. The market resolves Other if the election results are not definitively known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is based on a consensus of credible reporting. If ambiguity exists, the market resolves based on official results from government sources of Tlaxcala and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolution source
government sources of Tlaxcala and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-2.5-flash ·