Will Stefon Diggs be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?
Last captured price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$406.7 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The market resolves strictly according to the individual ranked first on Google's official Year in Search United States People list for 2026. A clear primary source URL and navigation path are designated, with a firm fallback deadline of March 31, 2027 if the data is not released. Participants should simply note that Google's Year in Search measures trending search interest rather than raw search volume, but the specific list referenced leaves no room for source discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to United States. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through United States → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Stefon Diggs will be ranked #1 on Google's official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Stefon Diggs is ranked #1 in Google's official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026. The market resolves to No if any other person holds the #1 ranking on that list. The market resolves to Other if Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution will be decided using the specified list published by Google.
Key dates
- Fallback release deadline: — Market resolves to Other if Google has not released the 2026 list by this time.
Resolution source
Google Trends Year in Search United States "People" list
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.