Will Joe Burrow be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?
Last captured price
0.2¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.2%
$797.5 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are clearly specified and rely directly on Google's official Year in Search United States list for the People category in 2026. While colloquial phrasing in the title mentions the top searched person, the rules precisely identify the exact official list and navigation path on Google Trends that determines the outcome. Decider discretion is minimal because resolution hinges entirely on a single authoritative list published by Google. A clear fallback deadline of March 31, 2027 is established to resolve the market if the list is never published.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to United States. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through United States → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Joe Burrow will be ranked number one on Google's official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Joe Burrow is ranked #1 on Google's official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026. The market resolves to No if another person is ranked #1 on that list. The market resolves to Other if Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Google's published list on its Year in Search hub serves as the deciding source.
Key dates
- Release deadline: — Deadline for Google to release the 2026 list before the market resolves to Other
Resolution source
Google's official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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