Will Christian Pulisic be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?
Last captured price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$431.7 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market relies on a specific official list published directly by Google: the United States Year in Search 'People' list for 2026. Clear navigation and fallback criteria are specified, including an early resolution trigger upon release and a defined timeout date of March 31, 2027, which resolves to 'Other' if the list is never published. Participants should note that Google's Year in Search ranks trending search volume rather than raw total search volume, but the rules explicitly bind resolution to that specific named ranking.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to United States. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through United States → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Christian Pulisic finishes as the #1 ranked individual on Google’s official Year in Search "People" list for the United States in 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Christian Pulisic is ranked #1 in Google's official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026. The market resolves No if another individual is ranked #1 on that list. The market resolves to Other if Google does not release the specified 2026 list by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The market will resolve as soon as the list is released, determined by the list published by Google regardless of navigation procedure.
Key dates
- Release deadline: — Market resolves to Other if Google has not released the 2026 list by this time.
Resolution source
Google Trends Year in Search United States People list
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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