Will Toby Wallace be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$1.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify an exact, authoritative metric: the individual ranked at the top of Google's official Year in Search Global list in the Actors category for 2026. The resolution path points to a dedicated official portal, accounts for potential navigation layout changes, and establishes a clear fallback deadline of March 31, 2027, if Google does not publish the list. There is minimal room for interpretive dispute or decider discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "Actors" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Entertainment → Actors. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether actor Toby Wallace will achieve the #1 ranking on Google's Year in Search Global list for actors in 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Toby Wallace is ranked #1 in Google's official Year in Search Global Actors list for 2026. The market resolves to No if any other individual is ranked #1 on the list. The market resolves to Other if Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by Google via its official Year in Search publication.
Key dates
- Release cutoff date: — Market resolves to Other if Google does not publish the 2026 list by this time.
Resolution source
Google's official Year in Search Global Actors list for 2026
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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