Will Channing Tatum be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$738.7 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market relies on a specific, named official source: Google's official Year in Search Global list under the Actors category for 2026. The rules provide precise navigation details for finding the data and specify that the list itself governs resolution regardless of website layout changes. A clear cutoff date of March 31, 2027, is established in case Google fails to publish the list, resolving to Other. The terms leave minimal room for subjective interpretation.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "Actors" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Entertainment → Actors. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Channing Tatum will rank number one in Google's official Year in Search Global Actors list for 2026. Although the question references 'this year', the rules specify the 2026 list for resolution.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Channing Tatum is ranked number one on Google's official Year in Search Global Actors list for 2026. The market resolves to No if another individual holds the number one rank on that list. The market resolves to Other if Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Google's published Year in Search Global Actors list on the Google Trends hub serves as the deciding source.
Key dates
- Release deadline: — Market resolves to Other if Google has not released the 2026 list by this time.
Resolution source
Google's official Year in Search Global Actors list for 2026
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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