Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market establishes clear criteria for resolution, explicitly counting voluntary license surrenders while excluding standard administrative suspensions such as CLE or registration lapses.
Read the full assessment
This market establishes clear criteria for resolution, explicitly counting voluntary license surrenders while excluding standard administrative suspensions such as CLE or registration lapses. Resolution primarily relies on official records from the Appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court, with secondary recourse to a consensus of credible reporting. The deadline of December 31, 2026, is unambiguous, presenting minimal risk of unexpected resolution.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
8%
chance▼ −0.1 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is disbarred or suspended from practicing law in New York State by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. It will count as disbarment for purposes of this market if Todd Blanche voluntarily surrenders his own bar license. Administrative suspensions, including those resulting from failure to comply with attorney registration or continuing legal education requirements, will not qualify for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market explained
This market measures whether attorney Todd Blanche is disbarred or suspended from practicing law in New York State by December 31, 2026. A voluntary surrender of his bar license counts as disbarment, while administrative suspensions are explicitly excluded.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Todd Blanche is disbarred or suspended from practicing law in New York State by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A voluntary surrender of his bar license counts as disbarment. Administrative suspensions, such as those for failing to meet attorney registration or continuing legal education requirements, do not qualify for a Yes resolution. The market resolves to No otherwise. Resolution decisions are based primarily on official information from the Appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court, or secondarily on a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
Official information from the Appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·