Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Current price
0.25¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.25%
$973K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the official winner of the 2026-27 English Premier League title as determined by the league, with credible media reporting available as a secondary fallback. The rules feature an early resolution provision that settles the market to "No" immediately once it becomes mathematically impossible for Newcastle United to finish first in the standings. Additionally, if the season is cancelled, postponed past June 14, 2027, or fails to crown a champion by that cutoff, the market is specified to resolve to "Other". The outcome conditions and timeline are clear and objective, with the primary operational detail being the possibility of an early resolution prior to the season's conclusion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Newcastle United will win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship. The market features an explicit resolution to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past a specific date, or left without a declared winner.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Newcastle United wins the 2026-27 English Premier League Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes mathematically or officially impossible for Newcastle United to win the championship under EPL rules. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 EPL season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Resolution will be determined using official information from the English Premier League, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Season cutoff / postponement deadline: — Market resolves to Other if the season is postponed past this time or no winner is declared.
Resolution source
Official information from the English Premier League (EPL), or a consensus of credible reporting.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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