Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Current price
0.55¢
−0.1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.55%
$1.3M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the official winner of the 2026-27 Premier League title. Participants should note the early resolution clause, which allows the market to resolve to No as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for Manchester United to win the title. If the season is cancelled or prolonged without a champion determined by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to Other. Resolution relies primarily on official league communications, with a consensus of credible reporting available as a secondary reference.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Manchester United will win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship.
How it resolves
This market resolves to Yes if Manchester United wins the 2026-27 English Premier League Championship. This market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Manchester United to win the championship under the rules of the league. This market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond the deadline, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Resolution is determined primarily by official information from the English Premier League, or secondarily by a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Season resolution deadline: — Market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past this time, or no winner is declared.
Resolution source
English Premier League (EPL) official information, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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