Will Shameka Parrish-Wright win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election?
Current price
6¢
−0.5¢ · 24h
Implied probability 6%
$3.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the official winner of the 2026 Louisville mayoral election. It provides a clear longstop date of April 30, 2027, resolving to Other if no outcome is determined by then. The rules specify credible media consensus as the primary standard, backed by official government election data from Kentucky and Louisville/Jefferson County if any uncertainty arises, leaving little room for surprise.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The 2026 Louisville mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Louisville, KY. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Louisville as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Kentucky and the Louisville/Jefferson County Metro Government.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Shameka Parrish-Wright will become the next mayor of Louisville, KY, as a result of the 2026 election. It includes a specific fallback resolution of 'Other' if the election outcome is not determined by late April 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Shameka Parrish-Wright becomes the next mayor of Louisville as a result of the 2026 election. The market resolves to No if another candidate becomes the next mayor of Louisville as a result of the election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election do not count. The market resolves to Other if the election result is not known by April 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is decided primarily by a consensus of credible reporting, with official information from the State of Kentucky and the Louisville/Jefferson County Metro Government resolving any ambiguity.
Key dates
- Election day: — The 2026 Louisville mayoral election takes place.
- Resolution deadline: — Market resolves to Other if the election result is not known by 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting, or official information from the State of Kentucky and the Louisville/Jefferson County Metro Government if ambiguity arises
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