Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?
Last captured price
90.4¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 90.4%
$23K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the official outcome of the November 3, 2026 election for Harris County Judge. The criteria are straightforward, directly tracking the winning candidate. While resolution relies primarily on a consensus of credible reporting, it explicitly backs up ambiguous outcomes with official election results from the State of Texas and Harris County. There is a clear fallback resolution date of April 30, 2027, resolving to Other if the result remains unknown, which gives ample time for certification and legal challenges.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The 2026 Harris County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Harris County, TX. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Harris County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Harris County.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Letitia Plummer will win the 2026 election to become the next County Judge of Harris County, Texas.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Letitia Plummer becomes the next County Judge of Harris County as a result of the 2026 election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election do not count. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins the election. The market resolves to Other if the election result is not known by April 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is decided primarily by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official information from the State of Texas and Harris County if results are ambiguous.
Key dates
- Election day: — The date the 2026 Harris County Judge election is held.
- Resolution cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if the outcome is unknown by 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting, or official information from the State of Texas and Harris County
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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