Saturn FDV above $800M one day after launch
Gotcha risk
Medium1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the exact valuation formula and define the evaluation time as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the exact valuation formula and define the evaluation time as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. However, the price resolution relies on the most liquid price source available rather than a single named exchange or price aggregator. If trading occurs across multiple centralized or decentralized venues with differing prices or liquidity profiles at that exact moment, deciding which source qualifies could introduce minor discrepancies.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Saturn's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Saturn will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Saturn (https://x.com/saturn_credit) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether the Fully Diluted Valuation of Saturn's official token exceeds $800M exactly one day after its launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of an official, actively and publicly tradable token launched by Saturn is greater than $800M at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs, and synthetic tokens do not count. The FDV is calculated as the total token supply multiplied by the token price. The market resolves to No if the FDV does not exceed $800M at that time, or if Saturn does not launch a qualifying token by January 1, 2028, at 12:00 AM ET. The resolution source is the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·