Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
Current price
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Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market clearly defines what qualifies for a positive outcome by explicitly requiring formal official diplomatic recognition rather than mere announcements of intent. The resolution deadline is specific to the minute on December 31, 2026. Official government statements serve as the primary decider, though market operators may fall back on a consensus of credible reporting if necessary. Participants should note that informal or preliminary diplomatic overtures will not suffice unless formalized.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rules history
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Market explained
This market measures whether Venezuela will officially grant formal recognition to Israel as a state by the end of 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Venezuela officially recognizes the State of Israel between market creation and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of intentions alone does not suffice for a Yes resolution, as only formal recognition counts. The market resolves to No if formal recognition does not take place by the deadline. Resolution will be determined primarily using official government information, supplemented by a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — Deadline is 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Official government information or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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