Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
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Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
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Market explained
This market measures whether Turkey formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the Abraham Accords framework by the end of 2026. The market's resolution depends on a specific type of agreement and public acknowledgment from both governments.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Turkey formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords. This agreement must be signed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A formal signing means an official agreement between Israel and Turkey that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The market resolves No if Turkey does not formally sign such an agreement with Israel by the specified deadline. Resolution will be determined by official government statements or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Agreement Deadline: — Turkey must formally sign a normalization agreement with Israel by this date and time (ET).
Resolution source
official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-2.5-flash ·
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