Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market defines a precise evaluation time of 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, with a definitive expiration of December 31, 2026.
Read the full assessment
The market defines a precise evaluation time of 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, with a definitive expiration of December 31, 2026. However, the resolution source is designated generically as the most liquid price source available without naming a specific exchange, aggregator, or method for determining trading volume. Calculating fully diluted valuation also depends on determining the exact total token supply at that moment, which can sometimes be disputed across different trackers or tokenomics announcements immediately following a launch.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Ink's token exceeds $100 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following its launch. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than $100 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following its launch. For this condition, the token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. The market resolves to No if the token's valuation is not above $100 million at that time, or if Ink does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution relies on the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·