NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?
Current price
0.05¢
−0.1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$324.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market clearly defines leaving the team as retiring, being traded, released, or otherwise off the official roster. The only minor ambiguity is a slight tension between the clause resolving Yes if he is not rostered before the October 22, 2026 deadline versus resolving No if he is on the roster as of that specific date, which could theoretically conflict if he left and returned. Sources include official NBA and team channels, though fallback to a consensus of credible reporting introduces some discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Med
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Stephen Curry is not rostered by the Golden State Warriors before October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Stephen Curry retires, is released, is traded, or is otherwise not a member of the Golden State Warriors official player roster, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If Stephen Curry is listed on the official roster of the Golden State Warriors as of October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, regardless of his playing status, this market will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA, Golden State Warriors, and/or Stephen Curry; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Stephen Curry ceases to be a member of the Golden State Warriors official player roster prior to late October 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Stephen Curry is not rostered by the Golden State Warriors before October 22, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, including if he retires, is released, is traded, or is otherwise not on the official player roster. The market resolves to No if he is listed on the official roster of the Golden State Warriors as of October 22, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, regardless of his playing status. Resolution is determined using official information from the NBA, the Golden State Warriors, and/or Stephen Curry, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Roster cutoff deadline: — Curry must remain on the official Warriors roster through this time to resolve No.
Resolution source
Official information from the NBA, Golden State Warriors, and/or Stephen Curry, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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