Will De'Von Achane win the 2026 NFL MVP?
Current price
0.1¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.1%
$19.7K total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market contains a structural mismatch, phrasing the question as a binary proposition about a specific player while the resolution rules define a multi-choice outcome resolving to the winning player or 'Other'. In the rare event of co-winners, an unusual alphabetical tie-breaker applies, awarding the resolution solely to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically rather than splitting or resolving positively for both. The rules set a clear deadline of February 28, 2027, after which an unawarded season resolves to 'Other'. Resolution primarily relies on official NFL announcements, though allowing a consensus of credible reporting introduces minor decider discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Med
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- High
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether De'Von Achane wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award, with specific rules for ties and market cancellation.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if De'Von Achane wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. The market resolves No if any other player wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award. In the event of a tie with multiple winners, the market resolves to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Resolution is determined by official information from the NFL, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
official information from the NFL
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-2.5-flash ·
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