SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
Current price
6.25¢
+0.4¢ · 24h
Implied probability 6.25%
$260.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market sets clear conditions for enactment: any federal bill requiring proof of citizenship to register or vote in federal elections must become law by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. While the question names the SAVE Act, the rules explicitly clarify that any legislation meeting the specific functional requirement qualifies, providing concrete examples. Resolution relies primarily on official U.S. government records, leaving minimal room for subjective judgment or timing ambiguities.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any bill, measure, or resolution that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition for registering to vote or to vote in U.S. federal elections is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law, or is otherwise enacted into U.S. federal law, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Examples of qualifying legislation include H.R. 22, the “SAVE Act,” and H.R. 7296, the “SAVE America Act.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether federal legislation requiring proof of U.S. citizenship to register or vote in federal elections, such as the SAVE Act, is enacted into U.S. federal law by December 31, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any bill, measure, or resolution requiring proof of U.S. citizenship to register to vote or vote in U.S. federal elections is passed by both chambers of Congress and signed into law, or otherwise enacted into federal law, by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation examples include H.R. 22 (the SAVE Act) and H.R. 7296 (the SAVE America Act). Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The market is resolved based on official information from the United States government, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Official information from the government of the United States, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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