Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules clearly define what constitutes the qualifying game edition, specifying the standard edition pre-tax price in USD on launch day in the United States.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules clearly define what constitutes the qualifying game edition, specifying the standard edition pre-tax price in USD on launch day in the United States. Designated official platforms (the Microsoft Store and PlayStation Store) serve as primary sources, with an explicit rule to use the lower price if the storefronts differ. A clear longstop date of February 28, 2027 is provided, resolving to negative if the game is delayed beyond that point.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance▼ −0.35 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States. If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price. This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc. If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market explained
This market measures whether the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) will launch with a pre-tax USD price of $100.00 or more in the United States.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the pre-tax launch price in USD for the standard edition of GTA 6 is $100.00 or more on its first official day of release in the United States. This price is measured for the lowest-priced full standard game with no DLC on Xbox or PlayStation. If the prices differ between the Microsoft Store and PlayStation Store, the lower price determines the outcome. The market resolves to No if the launch price is less than $100.00, or if the game is not released or is delayed beyond February 28, 2027. Resolution is decided using the Microsoft Store and PlayStation Store as the primary sources, alongside a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
Microsoft Store, PlayStation Store, and a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·