Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before close
- 7 days before close
- Not captured
- 24 hours before close
- 1 hour before close
Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
This market clearly depends on whether San Diego FC wins the official 2026 MLS Cup, relying primarily on official Major League Soccer information. Participants should note the early resolution clause, which triggers a resolution to No as soon as the team is mathematically eliminated or it becomes rule-impossible for them to win. Additionally, if the season is cancelled, delayed past December 31, 2026, or no winner is crowned by that date, the market resolves to Other rather than waiting or voiding.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before close.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether San Diego FC will win the 2026 MLS Cup championship. It features specific conditions for resolving early upon mathematical elimination or resolving to Other if the season is canceled.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if San Diego FC wins the 2026 MLS Cup. The market resolves to No if San Diego FC does not win, including if it becomes mathematically impossible for them to win under Major League Soccer rules at any point. The market resolves to Other if the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed past December 31, 2026 ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. The primary resolution source is official information from Major League Soccer, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Season resolution deadline: — Season must conclude and declare a winner by December 31, 2026 ET to avoid resolving to Other.
Resolution source
Major League Soccer (with credible reporting consensus as an alternative)
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.