Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before close
- 7 days before close
- 24 hours before close
- Not captured
- 1 hour before close
Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on whether the New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup, relying primarily on official Major League Soccer information with credible reporting as a secondary source. Participants should note the early resolution clause: if the team is mathematically eliminated from winning the MLS Cup before the season concludes, the market resolves to No immediately rather than waiting for the final match. Additionally, if the season is cancelled, postponed past December 31, 2026, or no champion is crowned by that date, the market resolves to Other.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before close.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether the New York Red Bulls will win the 2026 MLS Cup championship. It features specific provisions for early resolution if the team is eliminated, as well as an "Other" outcome if the season is canceled or postponed beyond 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for the New York Red Bulls to win the 2026 MLS Cup under MLS rules, such as mathematical elimination, or if another team wins. The market resolves to Other if the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from Major League Soccer serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Season deadline: — Market resolves to Other if the season is postponed after this date or no winner is declared by then.
Resolution source
Official information from Major League Soccer, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.